Crash Gambling Odds: How to Predict Your Chances of Winning
How can I increase my crash gambling winnings?
This million-dollar question is on the mind of every enthusiastic crash gambler. The rising popularity of crash gambling has led many players to seek out and understand the odds of crash gambling, which would help them increase their chances of winning.
We’re sorry to report that there is no magic crash gambling formula or life hack. But what we can offer is some realistic advice and guidance to understand the odds of a crash game better. Understanding this will turn you into a better crash gambler, we promise!
What Are the Odds of Winning in a Crash Gambling Game?
Before we dive deeper into the topic at hand, let’s make sure we’re on the same page; crash gambling is a game of pure luck.
The Harsh Truth
No strategies or knowledge can guarantee you steady winnings.
Now that we cleared that up, let’s talk about the odds. Just like any other casino game, crash games come with certain pre-defined odds and probabilities of winning. To help you understand these concepts, we’ll use BC.Game casino’s original crash game as an example.
We chose this game not only because it is one of our favorites, but also because it allows every player to see their exact chance of winning. With a Return-To-Player (RTP) of 99% and a house edge of 1%, this is considered among the most rewarding crash games out there. It’s also one of our favorite crash games.
P.S.: Check out our full review of BC.Game casino to see why we like it so much.
Crash Gambling Multipliers and the Associated Risk Element
To understand how the odds of winning work in crash gambling, it is important to consider the multipliers at which you decide to cash out. Here is how to calculate your chances of winning.
We already mentioned that BC.Originals Crash game comes with a 99% RTP. This means there is always a 1% chance that the multiplier crashes at 1X. However, there is still a 99% chance that the multiplier takes off and you win big. Here is how you calculate those chances.
The formula
If we take X as the multiplier and 0,99 (99% RTP) as the probability of winning, then we can calculate our chances of winning by dividing 0,99 by X.
Let’s say we set our Auto-Cashout feature at the 1.01X multiplier.
The betting interface of BC.Originals Crash game lets us know that our chance of winning with a 1.01X multiplier is 98,02%. Here is how BC.Game comes up with this result.
0,99/1,01 = 0,98019
Multiplying this number by 100 gives us a result in %.
100 x 0,98019 = 98,02% chance of winning (rounded to two decimal places)
Dividing 1 with the initial result gives the first number of the odds ratio.
1/0,98019 = 1,02 (decimal odds) = 99/4901 (fractional odds) = -4,950 (American odds)
Those are some pretty astonishing odds, but you’ll have to win a lot in order to make some real money with such low multipliers. That is the reason why people often chase higher multipliers.
Let’s say we set our Auto-Cashout feature at the 3X multiplier.
0,99/3 = 0,33
Multiplying this number by 100 gives us a result in %.
100 x 0,33 = 33,00% chance of winning (rounded to two decimal places)
Dividing 1 with the initial result gives the first number of the odds ratio.
1/0,33 = 3,03 (decimal odds) = 67/33 (fractional odds) = 203 (American odds)
The same result is provided by BC.Game’s betting interface.
So as you can learn from these 2 examples, the higher the multiplier the lower your chances of winning. The table below shows how your chances of winning diminish as you try to catch higher and higher multipliers.
Multiplier | Chance of winning |
---|---|
5X | 19,80% |
7X | 14,14% |
10X | 9,90% |
20X | 4,95% |
50X | 1,98% |
1000X | 0,10% |
How Does RTP Influence Your Chances of Winning in Crash?
Compared to traditional casinos, online casinos can afford much higher RTPs due to lower overhead costs. This is just one of the reasons why online casinos have gained some much traction. Seeing 99% RTPs as in the BC.Originals Crash game is almost unheard of in traditional casinos. However, not all crash games come with such amazing RTPs.
If you paid attention to our calculation of odds and chances of winning, you could already see how the RTP influences your chances of winning. To make things clearer, let’s do a quick comparison between a game with an RTP of 99% and a game with an RTP of 95%.
Let’s say we want to catch a 2X multiplier. What are our chances of winning?
Game A – 99% RTP:
RTP/multiplier
0,99/2 = 0,495
0,495 x 100 = 49,5% chance of winning and a 50,5% chance of losing.
In this case, the casino holds a 1% house edge, so they ultimately always win, hence the expression “the house always wins”.
Game B – 95% RTP:
RTP/multiplier
0,95/2 = 0,475
0,475 x 100 = 47,5% chance of winning and a 52,5% chance of winning.
In this case, the casino holds a 5% house edge, so they have a much better chance of winning than you have. This is the reason why we called BC.Originals Crash game with a 99% RTP much more rewarding than games with a lower RTP.
Which Crash Games Have the Best RTP?
Ok, so we want high RTPs, that is more than clear at this point. So which crash games offer the best RTPs? Here are our winners!
- Cash or Crash by Evolution Gaming – RTP of up to 99,59%
- Crash by BC.Originals – 99% RTP
- Crash by Stake Originals – 99% RTP
- Crash by Earnbet Casino – 98,5% RTP
- Aviator by Spribe – 97% RTP
- Cappadocia by SmartSoft Gaming – 97% RTP
- Space XY by BGaming – 97% RTP
If you want to see more details about each of the games, check out our full guide on high RTP crash games and why they are the best!
Caution
Certain casinos hold the right to change the RTP of the games they feature. Always check the RTP before playing.
Bottom Line
We hope we didn’t completely break your spirits by unveiling the grim truth that the casino always wins. While it is true that crash gambling remains a pure game of luck, we do recommend you take full advantage of all the betting automation options that are offered in good crash games.
The following casinos all offer crash games with amazing betting automation features.
Our favorite crash games, Crash by BC.Originals and Stake Originals Crash both offer amazing betting automation options which can help you control your bankroll, emotions, and ego. BC.Originals Crash game even allows you to code and upload your own custom game scripts so you can get really creative with your crash gambling strategies.
Understanding the concept of RTP and house edge will help you pick the best crash games, and avoid those that take advantage of the player. Keep in mind that if you play long enough, the casino will always win.
Keep it Fun
Crash gambling is not a career, it’s a fun pastime, and once you realize that, it gets a lot less stressful and a lot more fun!
Frequently Asked Questions
To answer this question one must know the RTP of the crash game you intend to play. If the game offers an RTP of 99% then there is a 1% chance that the multiplier crashes before it even starts climbing. In a game with an RTP of 95%, there’s a 5% chance that the multiplier crashes at 1X.
Keep in mind that the RTP is generally predetermined by the game developer, individual casinos also hold the right to change the RTP and house edge. We recommend playing games with RTPs as high as possible, 99% is considered a really good RTP.
The odds of the multiplier rising once it takes off are again tied to the RTP of the game. In a crash game with an RTP of 99%, there’s a 99% chance that the multiplier will increase by 1% at any given moment. However, there’s also a 1% chance that the multiplier crashes at any point in the game.
These 3 crash games currently offer the best RTPs and the most rewarding gambling experience.
1. Cash or Crash by Evolution Gaming – RTP of up to 99,59%
2. Crash by BC.Originals – 99% RTP
3. Crash by Stake Originals – 99% RTP